Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategorySpencer
73K →115
3.86ERA ←3.99
1.26WHIP ←1.31
7–16W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategorySpencer
40K40
2.87ERA ←3.77
1.01WHIP ←1.26
7W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.86 is 1.24 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Strider
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.02)
Justin Wrobleski: 73 K / 3.86 ERA. Spencer Strider: 115 K / 3.99 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).