Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryEmerson
92K →97
3.05ERA ←4.13
1.28WHIP →1.13
4–9W4–9
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryEmerson
61K →70
2.50ERA ←2.80
1.08WHIP →0.95
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.05 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Emerson Hancock
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.15 is 1.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Bryce Elder: 92 K / 3.05 ERA. Emerson Hancock: 97 K / 4.13 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).