Who's more valuable, rest of season
Lucas Giolito.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and wins. Garrett Crochet’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Lucas Giolito wins 2 categories (ERA, W); Garrett Crochet wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Garrett Crochet
95.8
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Garrett Crochet
11.8%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Garrett Crochet
26.8%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Garrett Crochet
30.1%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Garrett Crochet
45.3%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Garrett Crochet
10.5%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Garrett Crochet
.344
Lucas Giolito
.357
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Garrett Crochet
3.227.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.30
4.19
Lucas Giolito
3.227.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Garrett Crochet
1.121.92
now 1.47
1.30
Lucas Giolito
1.121.92
now 1.74
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Garrett Crochet
4062
now 37
46
Lucas Giolito
4062
now 6
21
Winshigher is better
Garrett Crochet
.0009
now 3
2–5
Lucas Giolito
.0009
now 2
3–7
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGarrett Crochet — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50