Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryJuan
21K →37
3.87ERA →3.65
1.27WHIP →1.24
3–8W ←1–2
1–2SV1–2
Current Season
GordonCategoryJuan
14K →30
1.80ERA ←2.63
0.90WHIP ←1.08
4W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.163 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.57 is 3.43 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Juan Morillo
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.32)
Gordon Graceffo: 21 K / 3.87 ERA. Juan Morillo: 37 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).