Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryMason
21K →48
3.87ERA →3.71
1.27WHIP →1.24
3–8W ←1–2
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
GordonCategoryMason
14K →30
1.80ERA ←3.91
0.90WHIP ←1.26
4W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.163 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.57 is 3.43 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mason Montgomery
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.01)
Gordon Graceffo: 21 K / 3.87 ERA. Mason Montgomery: 48 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).