Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryWill
25K →39
3.84ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←1–3
1–3SV →1–3
Current Season
GordonCategoryWill
14K →20
1.80ERA ←7.23
0.90WHIP ←1.45
4W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.25 is 3.49 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Will Vest
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Gordon Graceffo: 25 K / 3.84 ERA. Will Vest: 39 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).