MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lucas Giolito.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Grant Holmes’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lucas Giolito wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Grant Holmes wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Grant Holmes
94.2
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Grant Holmes
13.4%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Grant Holmes
18.9%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Grant Holmes
31.2%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Grant Holmes
44.6%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Grant Holmes
8.5%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Grant Holmes
.333
Lucas Giolito
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Grant Holmes
3.545.38
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.95
4.51
Lucas Giolito
3.545.38
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Grant Holmes
1.121.92
now 1.33
1.36
Lucas Giolito
1.121.92
now 1.74
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Grant Holmes
4071.80
now 53
12
Lucas Giolito
4071.80
now 6
7
Winshigher is better
Grant Holmes
.0004.20
now 3
01
Lucas Giolito
.0004.20
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGrant Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet