Who's more valuable, rest of season
Lucas Giolito.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Jack Leiter’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Lucas Giolito wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Jack Leiter wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jack Leiter
96.7
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jack Leiter
12.2%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jack Leiter
23.4%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jack Leiter
30.4%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jack Leiter
39.9%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jack Leiter
10.3%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jack Leiter
.337
Lucas Giolito
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jack Leiter
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.34
4.59
Lucas Giolito
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Jack Leiter
1.121.92
now 1.33
1.37
Lucas Giolito
1.121.92
now 1.74
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jack Leiter
40101.20
now 74
13
Lucas Giolito
40101.20
now 6
7
Winshigher is better
Jack Leiter
.0004.20
now 3
0–1
Lucas Giolito
.0004.20
now 2
1–2
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJack Leiter — sell.conf 0.78
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50