MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Grant Holmes wins 2 (K, ERA); Steven Matz wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Grant Holmes
94.3
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Grant Holmes
13.5%
Steven Matz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Grant Holmes
20.2%
Steven Matz
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Grant Holmes
32.0%
Steven Matz
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Grant Holmes
43.8%
Steven Matz
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Grant Holmes
9.7%
Steven Matz
13.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Grant Holmes
.340
Steven Matz
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Grant Holmes
3.465.66
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.95
4.58
Steven Matz
3.465.66
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.17
WHIPlower is better
Grant Holmes
1.171.49
now 1.33
1.42
Steven Matz
1.171.49
now 1.24
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Grant Holmes
4093.80
now 53
77
Steven Matz
4093.80
now 35
63
Winshigher is better
Grant Holmes
.60011.40
now 3
36
Steven Matz
.60011.40
now 4
49

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGrant Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.92
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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