MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Griffin Canning wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Steven Matz wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Griffin Canning
94.3
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
10.5%
Steven Matz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
22.4%
Steven Matz
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
23.8%
Steven Matz
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
50.4%
Steven Matz
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
10.3%
Steven Matz
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Griffin Canning
.342
Steven Matz
.370
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Griffin Canning
2.968.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.16
4.16
Steven Matz
2.968.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.27
WHIPlower is better
Griffin Canning
1.121.67
now 1.55
1.32
Steven Matz
1.121.67
now 1.24
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Griffin Canning
4081.60
now 27
65
Steven Matz
4081.60
now 35
66
Winshigher is better
Griffin Canning
.00014
now 0
00
Steven Matz
.00014
now 4
410

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGriffin Canning — hold.conf 0.50
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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