MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of David Peterson
David Peterson
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

David Peterson wins 2 (K, ERA); Steven Matz wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Peterson
92.2
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Peterson
10.3%
Steven Matz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Peterson
19.4%
Steven Matz
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Peterson
31.3%
Steven Matz
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Peterson
43.3%
Steven Matz
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Peterson
6.7%
Steven Matz
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Peterson
.339
Steven Matz
.370
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Peterson
4.295.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.18
4.57
Steven Matz
4.295.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.27
WHIPlower is better
David Peterson
1.101.73
now 1.59
1.44
Steven Matz
1.101.73
now 1.24
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Peterson
40102.20
now 56
83
Steven Matz
40102.20
now 35
66
Winshigher is better
David Peterson
.20012.80
now 3
36
Steven Matz
.20012.80
now 4
410

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellDavid Peterson — sell.conf 0.77
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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