Who's more valuable, rest of season
Griffin Canning.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Griffin Canning wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.1
Griffin Canning
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.2%
Griffin Canning
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
15.4%
Griffin Canning
22.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
28.9%
Griffin Canning
23.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
48.0%
Griffin Canning
50.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Griffin Canning
10.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.360
Griffin Canning
.342
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
2.958.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
5.00
Griffin Canning
2.958.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.16
4.15
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.231.64
now 1.47
1.40
Griffin Canning
1.231.64
now 1.55
1.32
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4083
now 39
67
Griffin Canning
4083
now 27
67
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00014
now 5
5–10
Griffin Canning
.00014
now 0
0–0
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeGriffin Canning — hold.conf 0.50