MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 20, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Trey Gibson
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 (K, W); Trey Gibson wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.1
Trey Gibson
95.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.2%
Trey Gibson
7.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
15.4%
Trey Gibson
12.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
28.9%
Trey Gibson
28.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
48.0%
Trey Gibson
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Trey Gibson
11.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.360
Trey Gibson
.389
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.745.36
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
5.00
Trey Gibson
3.745.36
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.24
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.211.62
now 1.47
1.40
Trey Gibson
1.211.62
now 1.53
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4091.80
now 39
67
Trey Gibson
4091.80
now 5
21
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00013.60
now 5
510
Trey Gibson
.00013.60
now 1
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
Sell HighTrey Gibson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82
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