Rest of Season Projection
GriffinCategoryTrey
71K ←29
4.13ERA →4.10
1.31WHIP →1.30
0–0W →3–6
0SV0
Current Season
GriffinCategoryTrey
27K ←5
7.16ERA →4.24
1.55WHIP →1.53
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Griffin Canning
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.46)
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.76 is 3.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 7% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Griffin Canning: 73 K / 4.12 ERA. Trey Gibson: 30 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).