Rest of Season Projection
RyneCategoryTrey
79K ←29
4.91ERA →4.10
1.29WHIP ←1.30
2–4W →3–6
0SV0
Current Season
RyneCategoryTrey
52K ←5
4.82ERA →4.24
1.19WHIP ←1.53
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ryne Nelson
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.34 +1.24 vs league with no luck excuse
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.76 is 3.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 7% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryne Nelson: 80 K / 4.90 ERA. Trey Gibson: 29 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).