Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryTrey
90K ←29
4.50ERA →4.10
1.43WHIP →1.30
3–6W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
DavidCategoryTrey
56K ←5
5.18ERA →4.24
1.59WHIP →1.53
3W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Peterson
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.71 +0.61 vs league with no luck excuse
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.76 is 3.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 7% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
David Peterson: 90 K / 4.50 ERA. Trey Gibson: 29 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).