Rest of Season Projection
RobbieCategoryTrey
101K ←29
4.77ERA →4.10
1.42WHIP →1.30
3–6W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
RobbieCategoryTrey
59K ←5
4.45ERA →4.24
1.40WHIP ←1.53
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Robbie Ray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.265 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.13 is 0.71 above the ERA — regression coming
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.76 is 3.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 7% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Robbie Ray: 103 K / 4.73 ERA. Trey Gibson: 30 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).