Rest of Season Projection
JoseCategoryTrey
58K ←29
4.25ERA →4.10
1.36WHIP →1.30
3–6W3–6
0SV0
Current Season
JoseCategoryTrey
20K ←5
5.27ERA →4.24
1.51WHIP ←1.53
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jose Quintana
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.90)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.76 is 3.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 7% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jose Quintana: 59 K / 4.25 ERA. Trey Gibson: 29 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).