Rest of Season Projection
RobbieCategoryRyne
101K ←79
4.77ERA ←4.91
1.42WHIP →1.29
3–6W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
RobbieCategoryRyne
59K ←52
4.45ERA ←4.82
1.40WHIP →1.19
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Robbie Ray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.265 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.13 is 0.71 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryne Nelson
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.34 +1.24 vs league with no luck excuse
Robbie Ray: 102 K / 4.76 ERA. Ryne Nelson: 80 K / 4.90 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).