MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Grayson Rodriguez
Grayson Rodriguez
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Grayson Rodriguez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Michael Lorenzen’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Grayson Rodriguez wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Michael Lorenzen wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Grayson Rodriguez
96.1
Michael Lorenzen
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Grayson Rodriguez
10.7%
Michael Lorenzen
8.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Grayson Rodriguez
17.3%
Michael Lorenzen
15.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Grayson Rodriguez
25.5%
Michael Lorenzen
25.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Grayson Rodriguez
52.4%
Michael Lorenzen
46.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Grayson Rodriguez
11.6%
Michael Lorenzen
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Grayson Rodriguez
.414
Michael Lorenzen
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Grayson Rodriguez
4.138.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.53
6.60
Michael Lorenzen
4.138.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.22
5.10
WHIPlower is better
Grayson Rodriguez
1.302.07
now 1.67
1.47
Michael Lorenzen
1.302.07
now 1.90
1.51

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Grayson Rodriguez
4056
now 14
44
Michael Lorenzen
4056
now 43
34
Winshigher is better
Grayson Rodriguez
.0009.40
now 2
37
Michael Lorenzen
.0009.40
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellGrayson Rodriguez — sell.conf 0.90
SellMichael Lorenzen — sell.conf 0.90
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