MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
SD · P
Change to
JR Ritchie
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Griffin Canning.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. JR Ritchie’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Griffin Canning wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); JR Ritchie wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Griffin Canning
94.3
JR Ritchie
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
10.6%
JR Ritchie
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
22.3%
JR Ritchie
21.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
23.9%
JR Ritchie
26.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
47.5%
JR Ritchie
38.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
8.8%
JR Ritchie
7.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Griffin Canning
.333
JR Ritchie
.337
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Griffin Canning
3.418.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.16
4.48
JR Ritchie
3.418.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.56
4.56
WHIPlower is better
Griffin Canning
1.371.62
now 1.55
1.47
JR Ritchie
1.371.62
now 1.44
1.50

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Griffin Canning
4063
now 27
51
JR Ritchie
4063
now 21
44
Winshigher is better
Griffin Canning
.0004.20
now 0
00
JR Ritchie
.0004.20
now 1
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellGriffin Canning — hold.conf 0.60
SellJR Ritchie — sell.conf 0.76
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