MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
SD · P
Change to
Rhett Lowder
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Griffin Canning.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Rhett Lowder’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Griffin Canning wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Rhett Lowder wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Griffin Canning
94.4
Rhett Lowder
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
10.6%
Rhett Lowder
9.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
22.3%
Rhett Lowder
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
24.7%
Rhett Lowder
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
48.8%
Rhett Lowder
39.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
9.9%
Rhett Lowder
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Griffin Canning
.340
Rhett Lowder
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Griffin Canning
3.658.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.16
4.65
Rhett Lowder
3.658.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.01
5.10
WHIPlower is better
Griffin Canning
1.381.62
now 1.55
1.47
Rhett Lowder
1.381.62
now 1.45
1.47

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Griffin Canning
4050.80
now 27
44
Rhett Lowder
4050.80
now 31
35
Winshigher is better
Griffin Canning
.0007
now 0
00
Rhett Lowder
.0007
now 3
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellGriffin Canning — hold.conf 0.60
SellRhett Lowder — sell.conf 0.90
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