MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
BOS · P
Change to
Rhett Lowder
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brayan Bello wins 2 (K, WHIP); Rhett Lowder wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
94.7
Rhett Lowder
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
12.3%
Rhett Lowder
9.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
16.6%
Rhett Lowder
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
32.0%
Rhett Lowder
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
44.1%
Rhett Lowder
39.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
10.4%
Rhett Lowder
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.373
Rhett Lowder
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
4.765.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
5.42
Rhett Lowder
4.765.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.01
5.10
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
1.331.73
now 1.64
1.42
Rhett Lowder
1.331.73
now 1.45
1.47

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4045.60
now 40
40
Rhett Lowder
4045.60
now 31
35
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.0006.60
now 2
13
Rhett Lowder
.0006.60
now 3
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.90
SellRhett Lowder — sell.conf 0.90
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