MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Griffin Jax wins 1 (WHIP); Tyler Kinley wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Griffin Jax
95.9
Tyler Kinley
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Griffin Jax
14.5%
Tyler Kinley
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Griffin Jax
25.6%
Tyler Kinley
21.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Griffin Jax
35.0%
Tyler Kinley
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Griffin Jax
39.7%
Tyler Kinley
27.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Griffin Jax
8.8%
Tyler Kinley
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Griffin Jax
.320
Tyler Kinley
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Griffin Jax
2.525.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.76
4.12
Tyler Kinley
2.525.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.39
WHIPlower is better
Griffin Jax
1.051.59
now 1.47
1.25
Tyler Kinley
1.051.59
now 1.17
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Griffin Jax
4044.80
now 32
0
Tyler Kinley
4044.80
now 28
0
Winshigher is better
Griffin Jax
.0005.60
now 1
0–0
Tyler Kinley
.0005.60
now 4
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellGriffin Jax — hold.conf 0.60
BuyTyler Kinley — buy.conf 0.81
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