MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Kinley.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tyler Kinley wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Tyler Kinley
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.2%
Tyler Kinley
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
30.8%
Tyler Kinley
24.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.4%
Tyler Kinley
24.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
39.7%
Tyler Kinley
27.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.1%
Tyler Kinley
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.318
Tyler Kinley
.280
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
2.504.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Tyler Kinley
2.504.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.101.41
now 1.34
1.24
Tyler Kinley
1.101.41
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4033.60
now 15
17
Tyler Kinley
4033.60
now 28
20
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.20
now 2
14
Tyler Kinley
.0005.20
now 4
24
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.60
now 2
14
Tyler Kinley
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Kinley — hold.conf 0.50
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