MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (WHIP); Tyler Kinley wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Tyler Kinley
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.0%
Tyler Kinley
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
28.4%
Tyler Kinley
21.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
35.8%
Tyler Kinley
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.3%
Tyler Kinley
27.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
10.5%
Tyler Kinley
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.328
Tyler Kinley
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
2.264.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
4.29
Tyler Kinley
2.264.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.39
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.091.45
now 1.34
1.23
Tyler Kinley
1.091.45
now 1.17
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4039.20
now 15
0
Tyler Kinley
4039.20
now 28
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.60
now 2
0–0
Tyler Kinley
.0005.60
now 4
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCaleb Thielbar — sell.conf 0.70
BuyTyler Kinley — buy.conf 0.81
Tweet