MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Connor Phillips
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connor Phillips wins 1 (WHIP); Tyler Kinley wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connor Phillips
98.3
Tyler Kinley
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connor Phillips
10.4%
Tyler Kinley
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connor Phillips
20.0%
Tyler Kinley
21.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connor Phillips
20.5%
Tyler Kinley
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connor Phillips
41.8%
Tyler Kinley
27.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connor Phillips
8.9%
Tyler Kinley
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connor Phillips
.378
Tyler Kinley
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connor Phillips
2.216.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.53
3.89
Tyler Kinley
2.216.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.39
WHIPlower is better
Connor Phillips
.9302.01
now 1.77
1.29
Tyler Kinley
.9302.01
now 1.17
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connor Phillips
4039.20
now 28
0
Tyler Kinley
4039.20
now 28
0
Winshigher is better
Connor Phillips
.0005.60
now 1
0–0
Tyler Kinley
.0005.60
now 4
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighConnor Phillips — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
BuyTyler Kinley — buy.conf 0.81
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