Rest of Season Projection
FernandoCategoryTyler
55K ←42
3.68ERA →3.66
1.25WHIP →1.24
3–7W →4–10
0SV0
Current Season
FernandoCategoryTyler
30K ←28
2.19ERA ←3.16
1.30WHIP →1.17
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Fernando Cruz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.21 is 1.21 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Kinley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.84)
Fernando Cruz: 55 K / 3.68 ERA. Tyler Kinley: 42 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).