MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Gus Varland
Gus Varland
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gus Varland wins 1 (WHIP); Keaton Winn wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gus Varland
95.1
Keaton Winn
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gus Varland
10.9%
Keaton Winn
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gus Varland
20.6%
Keaton Winn
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gus Varland
32.6%
Keaton Winn
27.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gus Varland
50.0%
Keaton Winn
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gus Varland
15.7%
Keaton Winn
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gus Varland
.392
Keaton Winn
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gus Varland
24.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.09
3.76
Keaton Winn
24.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Gus Varland
.9001.81
now 1.55
1.24
Keaton Winn
.9001.81
now 0.90
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gus Varland
4030.80
now 20
0
Keaton Winn
4030.80
now 22
0
Winshigher is better
Gus Varland
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Keaton Winn
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGus Varland — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKeaton Winn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
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