Rest of Season Projection
HoganCategoryShane
51K →60
3.68ERA →3.63
1.27WHIP →1.24
2–5W →2–5
5–9SV ←1–3
Current Season
HoganCategoryShane
31K →33
2.60ERA ←2.87
1.59WHIP →1.15
2W2
4SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 0.91 above the ERA — regression coming
Shane Drohan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.00)
Hogan Harris: 51 K / 3.68 ERA. Shane Drohan: 60 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).