MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ian Seymour.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Louis Varland’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Ian Seymour wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Louis Varland wins 2 (K, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Ian Seymour
91.7
Louis Varland
98.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Ian Seymour
14.7%
Louis Varland
15.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Ian Seymour
28.7%
Louis Varland
35.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Ian Seymour
33.9%
Louis Varland
36.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Ian Seymour
36.1%
Louis Varland
35.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Ian Seymour
8.4%
Louis Varland
2.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Ian Seymour
.280
Louis Varland
.217
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Ian Seymour
26.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.66
3.22
Louis Varland
26.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
3.52
WHIPlower is better
Ian Seymour
.9301.38
now 1.28
1.21
Louis Varland
.9301.38
now 1.03
1.22

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Ian Seymour
4047.60
now 32
28
Louis Varland
4047.60
now 42
31
Winshigher is better
Ian Seymour
.0005.20
now 3
24
Louis Varland
.0005.20
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Ian Seymour
.00012.20
now 2
13
Louis Varland
.00012.20
now 8
59
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyIan Seymour — buy.conf 0.86
Hold · wait & seeLouis Varland — hold.conf 0.50
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