Rest of Season Projection
JackCategoryPaul
72K →126
4.80ERA →2.28
1.51WHIP →1.04
2–5W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
JackCategoryPaul
46K →75
5.23ERA →2.89
1.48WHIP →0.86
2W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jack Kochanowicz
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.18 +1.08 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Jack Kochanowicz: 72 K / 4.80 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).