Rest of Season Projection
JackCategoryKevin
51K ←31
3.66ERA ←3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W →3–7
3–6SV ←1–6
Current Season
JackCategoryKevin
33K ←19
5.46ERA →2.67
1.21WHIP →0.81
2W →3
3SV ←2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jack Perkins
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.54 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Jack Perkins: 51 K / 3.66 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 31 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).