Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryJJ
12HR ←10
36R →43
31RBI →61
14SB ←2
.251AVG ←.242
Current Season
JacksonCategoryJJ
2HR →10
13R →19
11RBI →27
5SB ←1
.276AVG →.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.349 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
JJ Bleday
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.399)
Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 36 R. JJ Bleday: 10 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).