Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryShohei
12HR →22
36R →55
31RBI →45
14SB ←9
.251AVG →.300
Current Season
JacksonCategoryShohei
2HR →10
13R →38
11RBI →31
5SB →6
.276AVG →.289
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.349 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Shohei Ohtani
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.412, +0.097 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 36 R. Shohei Ohtani: 22 HR / 55 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).