Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryRiley
13HR →14
38R →42
31RBI →38
15SB ←1
.241AVG →.278
Current Season
JacksonCategoryRiley
5HR5
26R →31
21RBI →28
10SB ←1
.209AVG →.309
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.253 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Riley Greene
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Merrill: 13 HR / 38 R. Riley Greene: 14 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).