Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryTy
33K →55
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
JakeCategoryTy
20K ←16
5.00ERA →3.07
1.33WHIP →0.95
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Bird
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ty Madden
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.00 is 0.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Jake Bird: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Ty Madden: 55 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
