Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryNathan
2HR →8
33R ←31
19RBI →31
17SB ←7
.256AVG ←.236
Current Season
JakeCategoryNathan
1HR →5
16R →18
9RBI →18
8SB ←4
.269AVG ←.260
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Mangum
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.288)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.352 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Nathan Church
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.283 below league with no luck excuse
Jake Mangum: 2 HR / 33 R. Nathan Church: 8 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).