Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryWade
4HR →6
34R ←21
42RBI →56
17SB ←14
.250AVG ←.246
Current Season
JakeCategoryWade
4HR ←2
20R ←3
25RBI ←8
10SB ←2
.288AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake McCarthy
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.311)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Wade Meckler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.372 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.355 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
Jake McCarthy: 4 HR / 35 R. Wade Meckler: 7 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).