Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryMitchell
37K →43
3.70ERA ←3.74
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W2–5
1–3SV1–2
Current Season
JasonCategoryMitchell
11K →26
0.90ERA ←5.28
1.00WHIP ←1.17
2W2
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.234 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.62 is 1.73 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mitchell Parker
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.21)
Jason Adam: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Mitchell Parker: 43 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).