Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryTaylor
33K →42
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←1–3
1–3SV →1–6
Current Season
JasonCategoryTaylor
11K →17
0.90ERA ←4.15
1.00WHIP ←1.57
2W ←1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.03 is 1.32 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Taylor Rogers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.92)
Jason Adam: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Taylor Rogers: 42 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).