MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Taylor Rogers
Taylor Rogers
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 1 (K); Taylor Rogers wins 1 (SV); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.6
Taylor Rogers
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.5%
Taylor Rogers
7.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
29.2%
Taylor Rogers
19.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
34.9%
Taylor Rogers
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
27.7%
Taylor Rogers
29.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.3%
Taylor Rogers
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.300
Taylor Rogers
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Taylor Rogers
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.15
3.71
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
Taylor Rogers
1.012.04
now 1.57
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4031.60
now 26
26
Taylor Rogers
4031.60
now 17
19
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.5201.48
now 1
11
Taylor Rogers
.5201.48
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
02
Taylor Rogers
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeTaylor Rogers — hold.conf 0.55
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