Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryTyler
37K ←35
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W2–6
1–3SV1–4
Current Season
JasonCategoryTyler
11K →17
0.90ERA ←3.44
1.00WHIP →0.98
2W2
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.234 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.62 is 1.73 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Davis
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.46)
Jason Adam: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Tyler Davis: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).