MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI·P
Buy Low high·0.90
Change to
Engraved portrait of Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
TB·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

JesúsCategoryShane
126K 105
3.16ERA 3.58
1.25WHIP 1.29
4–9W 7–16
0SV0

Current Season

JesúsCategoryShane
78K 53
4.30ERA 2.45
1.31WHIP 1.02
4W 6
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Jesús Luzardo
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.360 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Shane McClanahan
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.12 above the ERA — regression coming

Jesús Luzardo: 126 K / 3.16 ERA. Shane McClanahan: 105 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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