MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jesús Luzardo wins 2 (K, ERA); Sonny Gray wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Sonny Gray
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
14.4%
Sonny Gray
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
28.0%
Sonny Gray
22.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
33.4%
Sonny Gray
33.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
29.6%
Sonny Gray
37.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
5.8%
Sonny Gray
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
.281
Sonny Gray
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
2.564.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
3.21
Sonny Gray
2.564.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.06
3.58
WHIPlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
1.131.38
now 1.31
1.29
Sonny Gray
1.131.38
now 1.20
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
40106.80
now 78
88
Sonny Gray
40106.80
now 41
59
Winshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
.00015.60
now 4
36
Sonny Gray
.00015.60
now 6
512

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.80
Sell HighSonny Gray — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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