MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Payton Tolle.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Payton Tolle wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Sonny Gray wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Payton Tolle
96.0
Sonny Gray
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Payton Tolle
14.5%
Sonny Gray
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Payton Tolle
26.2%
Sonny Gray
22.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Payton Tolle
34.3%
Sonny Gray
32.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Payton Tolle
34.3%
Sonny Gray
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Payton Tolle
7.0%
Sonny Gray
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Payton Tolle
.267
Sonny Gray
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Payton Tolle
2.204.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
2.94
Sonny Gray
2.204.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.06
3.64
WHIPlower is better
Payton Tolle
.9001.40
now 0.90
1.21
Sonny Gray
.9001.40
now 1.20
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Payton Tolle
4062
now 46
56
Sonny Gray
4062
now 41
41
Winshigher is better
Payton Tolle
.00010.40
now 2
23
Sonny Gray
.00010.40
now 6
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.92
Sell HighSonny Gray — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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