Rest of Season Projection
JJCategorySpencer
10HR →12
43R →51
61RBI ←32
2SB →5
.246AVG →.273
Current Season
JJCategorySpencer
10HR ←7
19R →34
27RBI ←21
1SB →3
.301AVG ←.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
JJ Bleday
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.399)
Spencer Steer
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.377, +0.062 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
JJ Bleday: 10 HR / 43 R. Spencer Steer: 12 HR / 51 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).