Rest of Season Projection
JoCategorySpencer
17HR ←13
34R →54
53RBI ←33
5SB5
.262AVG →.274
Current Season
JoCategorySpencer
9HR ←7
22R →34
34RBI ←21
3SB3
.236AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jo Adell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.272 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Spencer Steer
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.377, +0.062 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jo Adell: 17 HR / 34 R. Spencer Steer: 13 HR / 54 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).