Rest of Season Projection
JoCategoryRiley
17HR ←16
34R →48
53RBI ←44
5SB ←2
.262AVG →.274
Current Season
JoCategoryRiley
9HR ←5
22R →31
34RBI ←28
3SB ←1
.236AVG →.309
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jo Adell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.272 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Riley Greene
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.360, +0.045 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jo Adell: 17 HR / 34 R. Riley Greene: 16 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).