Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJo
10HR →17
49R ←34
40RBI →53
7SB ←5
.302AVG ←.262
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJo
5HR →9
29R ←22
24RBI →34
4SB ←3
.317AVG ←.236
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Jo Adell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.272 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 49 R. Jo Adell: 17 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).