Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJames
10HR →22
49R →78
40RBI →57
7SB →15
.302AVG ←.255
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJames
5HR →16
29R →53
24RBI →39
4SB →10
.317AVG ←.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Brandon Marsh: .302 AVG / 10 HR vs James Wood: .255 AVG / 22 HR. The average gains are offset by a 12-homer deficit. Sell Marsh; acquire Wood.